The world of college football is abuzz with anticipation as ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) sheds light on the upcoming 2026 season, particularly for the Big 12 rivals BYU and Utah. Personally, I find it fascinating how these predictions can shape the narrative and expectations for a team's entire season.
BYU, with its impressive 13.1 FPI score, is poised for a strong showing. The Cougars are predicted to win 8.7 games, a significant improvement from last year's projection of 8.0 wins. What makes this particularly fascinating is the fact that BYU defied expectations last season, finishing with an impressive 11-1 record and a top-12 ranking. This year, they're expected to contend for the Big 12 crown and even have a shot at the College Football Playoff, with a 25.7% chance of making it.
One detail that I find especially interesting is BYU's strength of schedule. Last year, they ranked 74th, and this season, they've jumped to 55th, indicating a tougher road ahead. The Cougars will face some formidable opponents, including Notre Dame, ranked 3rd in the FPI, and their Big 12 rivals, Utah, who are predicted to be their toughest conference challenge.
Utah, on the other hand, is projected to have a solid season as well, with an 8.5 FPI score. The Utes are expected to win 7.7 games, an improvement from their previous season's record. What's intriguing about Utah is their ability to exceed expectations. Last year, they were coming off a 5-7 season and were projected for just 6.4 wins, but they finished with an impressive 11-2 record. This season, they're predicted to have a 5.9% chance of winning the Big 12 and an 11.1% chance of making the CFP.
In terms of schedule, Utah has the 13th toughest schedule in the Big 12, which is a favorable position for a team returning key players. However, their schedule last season was even tougher, ranking 6th in the conference, so it will be interesting to see how they adapt to a slightly less challenging slate of games.
As we delve deeper into these predictions, it's evident that both BYU and Utah have the potential to make waves in the Big 12. While the FPI provides a glimpse into the future, it's important to remember that these are just projections, and the beauty of college football lies in its unpredictability. The upcoming season promises to be an exciting one, and I, for one, can't wait to see how these teams perform and if they can defy the odds once again.
